Every president makes off the cuff remarks they regret. Every once in a while these remarks shape our history. They reveal both the humanity and the conscience of presidents. Can every statement a president says instantly and accurately pass through the filter of being consistent with policy, partisan platform, popular opinion, constitutional and international law, personal judgement and morally right? Hardly.
In the old days, presidents would meet with reporters and declare statements to be “off the record and not attributable”. Roosevelt was famous for confiding in the press and at the same time controlling what they reported. Those old days of presidents controlling the press are long gone (thankfully). Yet, Obama’s “red line” comment was off the cuff, not a prepared policy statement. The civilized world abhors indiscriminate killing with chemical weapons.
The President said what he believed to be the morally right thing to deter their use. The problem, of course is obvious; his comment instantly became policy of a world power with all the trimmings of honor, commitment, and worldly expectations; the proverbial chip on the shoulder of a school yard bully flicked off before the eyes of the world.
Presidents are usually pretty good at sticking to the script (they’re all politicians, that’s what they do), and they avoid letting policy statements be trumped by personal conscience. When they do, it’s usually news! They’re human. And sometimes it shapes history.
Now another off the cuff remark, this time from Kerry, may have opened the door to avert a calamity. Kerry’s remark sounded more like a personal response of moral conscience than policy, and he quickly caught himself in real-time as he was speaking by ending his sentence with the political proviso that “of course it can’t be done”.
Yet now a diplomatic solution (stalled for years) appears to be feasible-- probably only because we are on the brink of military action ......... 24 hours after Kerry’s remark most politicians who were in favor of taking military action are now falling all over themselves in support of a diplomatic solution.
But the real force in this crisis was the voice of America, screaming for a diplomatic solution. Obama even admitted, “the American people aren’t with me on this”.... and now he’s hopeful of a diplomatic solution. The conservative newspaper, Union Leader’s own poll (at last count) shows 81% of respondents do not support military action. Military action is dead.
The president will speak tonight. Yet, he's caught in a Twitter world where events move as quickly as tweets, and world opinion and policy is shaped in hours- not days or weeks! The President is no doubt re-writing his speech today. Originally scheduled to win public approval for military action, rather than cancel the time slot, he will now most likely make an international policy statement of the diplomatic process to handover Syria’s chemical weapons to international control. Let's hope the speech he writes this afternoon is still relevant tonight. These are interesting times!